Map 10. Human population density in East Africa 

Map 10 shows the population density and administrative boundaries for the area surrounding Lake Victoria based on the highest resolution census data currently publicly available from Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda. The data come from the most recent population censuses (Kenya, 1999; Tanzania, 1988; and Uganda, 1991) and are shown at the sub-location level (the fifth sub-national level) for Kenya (ILRI/TSBF/FEWS, 2001), at the ward level (the third sub-national level) for Tanzania (ICL, 2001), and the parish (the fifth sub-national level) for Uganda (Uganda Government, 2000). We selected this map to make two points. 
     Firstly, it highlights the generally high population density in areas that are identified as mixed systems in our global and regional maps of livestock production systems (see next section). These are the areas where we would expect the highest number of absolute poor, even with lower relative rates, because the majority of people live in these areas. 
     Secondly, the average size of administrative areas is significantly smaller than shown in the regional poverty map for East Africa based on national household expenditure surveys. This shows the potential for improving the resolution of poverty maps based on small-area estimation techniques, although it is not clear yet whether the variables in the census and survey data will allow models robust enough for maps at such detailed resolution, especially for Tanzania.

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