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Mapping—
East Africa

 

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    3.3 Where are the poor in East Africa?

Map 12. East Africa regional poverty map

The East Africa regional poverty map (Map 12) is based on the most recent national household expenditure/welfare monitoring surveys available for each country. It is very important to remember that across the three countries, the survey year varies, the  administrative level at which the surveys are statistically valid varies, and the poverty  lines  are not identical (explained in more detail below). Nonetheless, as far as we are aware, this is the first attempt that has been made to produce such a regional poverty map, and it is useful for various purposes so long as the stated caveats are taken into consideration. 
     The poverty measure chosen for this regional map was the percentage of households falling below the absolute poverty line. The absolute poverty line determined for each country differs (and within countries, it can differ between urban and rural households) as it is based on local costs of a basket containing minimum food (calories per adult equivalent [AE]) and non-food requirements. Households with monthly expenditures below the absolute poverty line are judged to be unable to afford the basket and are therefore relatively poor compared to those households that are able to meet these basic needs (i.e. with monthly expenditures above the poverty line).
     For Kenya, the information on the regional map and the maps in Section 3.4 comes from the Welfare Monitoring Survey WMS III of 1997 (Kenya Government, 2000), that covered 44 districts in Kenya. The 1997 survey did not cover the remaining seven northern and north-eastern districts of Kenya, so information from the 1994 WMS II survey was mapped for these districts (Kenya now has 69 administrative districts). The 1997 absolute poverty line for rural households was established as KSh 1,239 AE-1 month-1 (US$ 211 ), and KSh 2,648 AE-1 month-1 for urban households (US$ 45). In 1994, the absolute poverty line was KSh 978 AE-1 month-1 (rural; US$ 18), and KSh 1,489 AE-1 month-1 (urban; US$ 27). 
     The Uganda data come from the 1997/98 Integrated Household Monitoring Survey (IHS) Monitoring Survey (MS-4) (Uganda Government, 1999). This household expenditure survey was designed to provide statistically valid estimates at the regional level (there are
four regions in Uganda). The absolute poverty line for rural areas was established at USh 8,280 (about US$ 8.28) AE-1 month-1
     For Tanzania, the percentage of households falling below an absolute poverty line is derived from the Human Resource Development Survey (HRDS) of 1993 (Likwelile, 2000), representative for 19 regions. The Tanzanian absolute urban poverty lines were set at TSh 9,834 (US$ 25) AE-1 month-1 and rural poverty lines at TSh 8,949 (US$ 22.5) AE-1 month-1.
     Across the region, there is relatively less poverty in areas close to the capital cities. The northern, most arid regions are the poorest in Uganda and Kenya (and correspond to areas with extreme insecurity and pastoralism). The westernmost regions of Tanzania are as poor as northern Kenya and Uganda, and correspond to generally low levels of TLUs per person (see Map 8). Tanzania’s northern regions and those close to Dar es Salaam are the least poor (for instance, Arusha matches neighboring Kajiado in Kenya), where pockets of areas with high TLUs person-1 can be found.


1. US$ exchange rates used were: Kenya (KShs), 1997= 58.8; Uganda (UShs), 1997= 1000; Tanzania (TShs), 1993= 398 (data from the FAO Trade Yearbook, Vol. 52, 1998).

 
  Map 12. East Africa regional poverty1 map

1.

Poverty measure = percentage of households falling below the absolute poverty line, based on local costs of a basket containing minimum food (calories per adult equivalent [AE]) and non-food requirements

Kenya data source: Welfare Monitoring Survey, 1997 WMS III (44 districts); plus 1994 WMS II survey (7 northern districts not covered in 1997 survey). 1997 absolute poverty line: rural households–US$ 21 per adult equivalent (AE) month-1; urban–US$ 45 AE-1month-1 1994 absolute poverty line: rural: US$ 18 AE-1 month-1; urban: US$ 27 AE-1 month-1

Uganda data source: 1997/98 Integrated Household Survey (IHS) Monitoring Survey (MS), representative for 4 regions. 1997 absolute poverty line: US$ 8.28

Tanzania data source: 1993 Household Budget Survey (HRBS), representative for 19 regions, 1993 absolute poverty lines: urban–US$ 25; rural–US$ 22.50


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